FIA Market Briefing

Friday, July 10, 2026
FIA RATE ENVIRONMENT: FAVORABLEConditions support improving FIA crediting rates
Fed Watch
Fed Funds Rate Target
4.25% – 4.50%
Next FOMC Meeting
May 6–7, 2026
Yield Curve & Rates
3.67%
2-Year Treasury
-0.06 this week
Normal
+87 bps
10Y minus 2Y
4.54%
10-Year Treasury
+0.12 this week

What this means for FIA rates: The 10-year Treasury rose +0.12% this week to 4.54%, widening insurer bond income and putting upward pressure on FIA cap rates and participation rates. The yield curve is normal (+87 bps), a healthy sign for insurer long-term portfolio returns. The 2-year fell 0.06% — watch whether the spread continues to widen.

Key FIA Rate Drivers
10-Year Treasury Yield0.12 this week
10-Year Treasury Yield
VIX (Volatility)4.70% this week
VIX (Volatility)
What This Means for FIA Cap Rates

With the 10-year at 4.54% and VIX calm at 15.8, option budgets are in good shape. Rising bond yields fund larger options budgets while contained volatility keeps option costs down — the best combination for competitive FIA cap rates.

FIA Rate Outlook

Rate improvement likely. Yields are rising while options costs remain contained — the best combination for FIA crediting rates. The 10-year moved from 4.42% to 4.54% over the week, and VIX went from 16.59 to 15.81. The yield curve is positive (87bps spread) — a healthy sign for insurer portfolio returns. If you're seeing competitive quotes, it's a good time to lock in. Insurers have room to improve caps and participation rates.

Client Talking Points Today
  • Yields are rising — good time to discuss locking in a new FIA while crediting rates are improving.
  • Equities are flat — a natural moment to discuss how FIAs offer a more predictable path for retirement income vs. direct market exposure.
  • Index performance is diverging (Russell 2000 down 1.05%) — worth discussing which FIA index crediting strategy best fits each client's outlook.
  • With the 10-year at 4.54%, fixed-rate alternatives look competitive. Be ready to explain how FIA participation in market upside differentiates them from straight fixed annuities.
FIA-Linked Index Performance
S&P 5000.59% this week
S&P 500
NASDAQ0.03% this week
NASDAQ
Russell 20001.05% this week
Russell 2000
2-Year Treasury1.61% this week
2-Year Treasury

Today Financial Agency • Jed Monsen • 801.857.1069

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